Showing posts with label Speaker. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Speaker. Show all posts

19 May 2009

Out of the Frying Pan

Since I came to this House 30 years ago, I have always felt that the House is at its best when it is united. In order that unity can be maintained, I have decided that I will relinquish the office of Speaker on Sunday 21 June. This will allow the House to proceed to elect a new Speaker on Monday 22 June. That is all I have to say on this matter.

And with those terse words, one can of worms was placed in the bin, to be replaced with two more.

The first is who will replace him as Speaker - and who would want to. We have, at this stage, only one declared candidate, and so he is, by default, the frontrunner: Sir Alan Beith, LibDem MP for Berwick-upon-Tweed. He is the bookies' second favourite, at 5/1. The favourite is Sir George Young, at 4/1. Vince Cable, David Davis and anne Widdecombe have all ruled themselves out. Mutterings from the Labour benches point towards Tory MP John Bercow. Mutterings from the Tory benches point towards Labour MP Frank Field. At this stage, it's far too early to say who will emerge.

The second is who will replace him as MP for Glasgow North East, with his departure from the Commons all but certain. Strictly speaking, there is no incumbent party, with the Speaker standing for re-election as an apartisan candidate, but had that not been the case, this would ordinarily be seen as a Labour fortress. Nevertheless, we have a little more knowledge about party strengths merely on the basis that, as you'd expect, the SNP haven't really been all that impressed by the convention that the Speaker isn't challenged. If you make the shaky assumption that all the people who voted for Michael Martin would have voted Labour, and that all the people who would have voted Labour voted for Michael Martin - and neither of those assumptions hold much water but we have to start from somewhere - the SNP would require a swing of 18% to win a By-Election: more than was required (and far more than was acheived) in Glenrothes, but less than what was needed and attained next to this seat in Glasgow East. On that basis, we can't yet read the tea leaves, and I don't yet envisage the European Elections shedding any light on how the By-Election would progress. I shall simply say that for the SNP, a victory would be best characterised as it was in Glasgow East - improbable but not impossible - while for Labour, victory is nothing short of an absolute must.

There's then the question of the candidacies. Conventional wisdom used to have it that Paul Martin was a shoo-in for the Labour nomination but hereditity might not go down overly well right now but combined with Margaret Curran's intention to fight Glasgow East again, it might provide a vacancy for Steven Purcell at Holyrood (might that make Frank McAveety a possible candidate?). The SNP have a PPC - Grant Thoms, the Tartan Hero - but as we know from Glasgow East, PPCs for the General Election don't necessarily fight a By-Election. However, he's in place, he's on the Party's NEC, he's a strong campaigner so you would see him as a frontrunner. All the same, these are unusual times, and the assumptions we would normally make can be called into question very easily indeed. All bets are very much off.

So, Michael Martin's exit creates two vacancies, and two elections: one winner will emerge from the benches of the House of Commons; the other winner will take a seat on them. But at this stage, we can't even say for sure who will be on either ballot paper, much less who will emerge on top.

We await with bated breath.

18 May 2009

Michael Martin: A Parliamentary Piñata

Well, the statement has been and gone. On paper, it looked like everything it needed to be: contrite, sober, measured. Everything that was required of Michael Martin last week when he instead opted to fly off the handle at Kate Hoey and Norman Baker. With that, the story moved on and the question on every political geek's lips (and beyond that narrow circle, following its lack of discussion in the statement) is whether, and when, the Speaker of the House of Commons will hand over to another. But the Member for Glasgow North East failed to answer it. Once again, he's one week behind the times.

Of course, he's being cast as the central villain of the piece: he has presided over the House at its darkest hour, when Members have been exposed as benefit cheats writ large, though for sums far exceeding the odd bit of cash-in-hand work as a joiner. This is his mess, cry the critics, and he has failed to deal with it. Therefore, he is part of the problem. Therefore, he cannot provide the solution. Therefore, he should stand aside.

And his own expenses claims leave a lot to be desired: the family junkets. The chauffeur-driven ride to Celtic Park. Though, in fairness, this last one makes sense: no one should have to drive to Parkhead as there is no way that a car parked up and left unattended could remain unmolested for any more than ten minutes around that shi- sorry, getting distracted by the title race, moving on...

Anyway. The claims are pathetic, and his alleged defence ("I have been a trade unionist all my life. I did not come into politics not to take what is owed to me"), a blatant confession that he sees politics as little more than a gravy train, show an element of hubris that makes his posiiton even more ridiculous. I daresay it's also frustrating for the trade union activists in workplaces up and down the UK who spend their time doing, you know, actual work and getting little more than a thank-you for the extra task of representing their co-workers.

Nevertheless, let's look at some of the more ridiculous claims. He hasn't used expense money for a moat. He hasn't used it for a house that is neither near Parliament nor in his Constituency. He hasn't claimed that he didn't realise he'd finished repaying his mortgage. He doesn't boycott Parliament but claim Parliamentary expenses for accommodation in London. Yet while copious amounts of newsprint, airtime and bile are extended towards those guilty of those offences (though the last one has passed by far more quietly than it should have done, if you ask me) , the circus has moved from them to the next carpetbagger du jour. Michael Martin, meanwhile, has been under unrelenting pressure right from the start.

And let's be honest: it is his fault that Douglas Hogg's moat allegedly got cleared at our expense? Not really. Is it his fault that Margaret Moran claimed for repairs to a house that had bugger all to do with her work as a Parliamentarian (it may be the family home, and dry rot might be a bastard to sort out, but still, I'd love to see my boss's face if I billed work for the £250 I spent re-decorating my bedroom a few months ago)? Not really. Is it his fault that Elliot Morley claims not to have noticed that his monthly outgoings suddenly fell? Not really. Is it his fault that Sinn Féin are so opposed to the UK's presence in Northern Ireland that they refuse to represent their Constituents in the Chamber of the House of Commons, but not so opposed to it that they refuse to claim re-imbursement from Parliamentary authorities for accommodation in London? Again, not really. Politicians of all partisan hues have been caught with their hands in the biscuit tin and all of them have no one to blame but themselves. Yes, the expenses regime is ridiculous, but they didn't have to take advantage of it. So we should be wary of treating Michael Martin like a scapegoat.

There is still a case for the defence of Michael Martin, albeit a tattered and tarnished one. He had, in Betty Boothroyd, a hard act to follow. She was a bluff, no-nonsense working class woman, who stamped her authority on proceedings but did so with grace and poise. She was popular with all sides of the House (and despite being Labour MP, was elevated to the Speakership at a time when the Tories had a majority in the Commons) and it wouldn't surprise me if a fair number of MPs fantasised about her calling their Right Honourable Member to order, if you'll forgive a brief descent into smut. Michael Martin, however, is no Betty Boothroyd.

It didn't help that there were rumblings in 2000 from the Tory benches that it was 'their turn' to provide a Speaker, that the post typically alternated between the two parties. Betty Boothroyd had been a Labour MP, so it was a Tory's turn. But Boothroyd won the post as a result of a Tory Backbench rebellion. Bernard Wetherill, a Tory, was elected following the 1983 Tory landslide; George Thomas (Labour) had been elected in 1976 during the Labour Government; Selwyn Lloyd became Speaker during the Heath Government and Horace King did so during the first Wilson Government. Before that, the Tories had provided every Speaker but one since 1905, and that single exception - J. H. Whitley (1921-1928) - had been a Coalition Liberal so had sat on the Government benches with the Tories, who supported David Lloyd George's Government at the time. Therefore, Boothroyd was the first Speaker since Sir James Abercromby (also the last Speaker to represent a Scottish Constituency before Martin) in 1835 who did not come from the same Party as the sitting or emerging Prime Minister. The whole 'taking turns' thing was and is nonsense, but the Tories persisted with it and it's a point of grudge and those who are concerned at the prospect of three consecutive Labour Speakers might want to bear in mind the four consecutive Tory Speakers from 1928 to 1965. Nevertheless, it was used as a stick with which to beat the present Speaker.

Further, there's always been a contemptuous sneer in the direction of "Gorbals Mick", as the right-wing press know him. For some on the Tory benches, he's too working-class (Betty Boothroyd had a working-class background but not the accent), too unreconstucted Labour, perhaps too Glaswegian. There is a section of Parliament that has never taken to Michael Martin, and never would have, whatever he did. I have some sympathy for Tom Harris (no, really!) when he opines:

Yes, [Douglas Carswell] feels he has good reason to put down a motion this week, but if it wasn’t expenses, it would be Damian Green, and if it wasn’t Damian Green it would be something else. Of course Douglas wants Michael Martin to step down — it is after all, a day with a “y” in it.

So having followed a tough act, and having the odds stacked against him, it's been clear right from the start that Michael Martin has had to work twice as hard as his predecessor to do half as well.

This is a good time to turn to the case for the prosecution.

To put it simply, he hasn't done so. He's had eight and a half years to turn people around and failed. He's happy to break with precedent and allow police to come trooping into Parliamentary offices, and confiscate an MP's computer and records during the Damien Green affair, but allow an FOI request on MPs' expenses? Hell no! And the reports on what Parliamentarians are claiming isn't the fault of the MPs themselves for claiming it, but the fault of the nasty press for telling people, and MPs like Kate Hoey and Norman Baker who believe that something stinks are jumped on for airing that view. So his approach in the Damien Green story, and in this present tale are consistent in only one way: they are both on the wrong side of public opinion.

Further, the hubris he has shown until today on the matter is absolutely the wrong approach. The Holyrood expenses system has been used as a model for Westminster, but recent revelations show that even now, MSPs are not immune to the snot/trough interface scenario. But when tales of MSPs on the make have emerged, Presiding Officers (especially George Reid) have been quick to react, not by blaming the press or the public for being outraged, but by changing the system, making it tighter and so showing people that the system can work if you give it a chance, and give the people in it a chance to learn from their mistakes and develop new and better ways of doing things. Michael Martin has opted to circle the wagons, and reviews now (even ongoing ones) are seen as far too little, far too late, particularly when this controversy has been brewing for ages. He should have acted. He should have read public opinion. He didn't. Is it too late to parachute George Reid into Westminster?

And far from turning hostile voices around, he has turned potential supporters and allies against him: Labour backbenchers are signing Douglas Carswell's no-confidence motion against him, for heaven's sake! The LibDems, who one imagines are far less averse to Michael Martin than the Tories, have reached such exasperation that even their Leader has called for his departure. In short, Michael Martin is running out of supporters and running out of time.

And his job is a particularly sensitive one: how can his most trenchant critics, Kate Hoey, Douglas Carswell, Norman Baker and Nick Clegg get treatment that is both fair and seen to be fair from the Speaker now? How can he credibly keep order in the House of Commons if Members from all parts of it want him out of that job?

Being Speaker is not like being in Government: you would expect on Opposition to want a Government out, you would expect an Opposition to challenge the things that Ministers do. But the Speaker is an honest broker, responsible for and to the entire House, and all of its Members, requiring their confidence and good will every day. It's bad enough that a number of MPs never had any confidence in him in the first place (though that's a poor reflection on them for their prejudice), but now that others are losing confidence in him - and their numbers are growing by the day - Michael Martin's position becomes less and less tenable. It's not enough merely to avoid Douglas Carswell's no-confidence vote and it wouldn't be enough to survive it either: that MPs should feel strongly enough to table it and make a serious attempt to depose a Speaker for the first time since 1695 is a sign that the Michael Martin has already lost: he needs the confidence (or, as a bare minimum, the indulgence) of the entire House and he no longer has it.

In short: he has always faced a massive challenge but has failed to rise to it; he has failed to tackle the issues threatening to undermine the status of the House of Commons; he has failed to win over his critics despite having eight and a half years to do so and he has lost supporters.

And that, sadly, is why I believe he has to go.

24 February 2008

Speaker's Corner

There is, of course, considerable chatter about the future of Michael Martin, the MP for Glasgow North East and Speaker of the House of Commons. Most of the chatter revolves around his expenses, and us of Air Miles racked up on Parliamentary business to treat his family to a Christmas break in the Big Apple, though some Opposition MPs mutter that he's more favourable to his old colleagues in the Labour Party.

Now, George Foulkes, among others, have cried foul, suspecting that good old-fashioned prejudice and class warfare has more to do with it, and you could argue that Foulkes is trying to generate Labour support for the Speaker (and quell any mutterings on the Government benches) by invoking the old demons of the "Tory toffs". Of course, this would have worked better in the days before Old Fettesian Tony Blair, and before Quentin Davies and Digby Jones joining the party, so raising the Red Flag in defence of Mister Speaker isn't perhaps the wisest course of action.

I hate to admit it, but Foulkes might just have a point. Given the Tory view of the West Lothian Question, you have to ask if Martin is just too Scottish for them. And looking at the Parliamentary sketches in the right-wing press (branding the Speaker "Gorbals Mick", for example), you have to ask if he's just too working class for them as well. Now, Betty Boothroyd was working class as well, but 1) she isn't Scottish and 2) she sounds authoritative, almost schoolma'amish. Plus which, she is a woman and a former dancer, so I wouldn't be too surprised if she wasn't fancied by a large number of Tory MPs who had fantasies of her calling them to order in the bedroom. No disrespect to Mister Speaker, but I can't see him having the same allure.

But does that mean he should stay in the job? Quite the reverse. The Speaker's job depends on authority, and on carrying the respect and trust of both sides of the House of Commons. While some of the hostility to the man is based on spite more than anything else, he doesn't have Tory MPs' respect or trust. Therefore, he has no authority, and sadly, it would be better for him and the House if he were to head for the Lords as soon as he can. You could argue that it's giving in to the prejudice, but in this case, he can't chair proceedings if a significant number of MPs want him out.

The Tories would certainly welcome the decision: they would get a new Speaker - one of their own, perhaps.

This would benefit Labour too: the Tories would have one fewer MP, and there'd be a By-Election in Glasgow North East. Labour would be certain to win this, so they'd gain an additional MP. Plus which, Wendy Alexander and Gordon Brown could enjoy a morale-boosting victory.

And even the SNP would have something to cheer: it would be very difficult for the Party to win a By-Election, but there'd most likely be a significant swing to the Party, helping to cheer activists and continue the momentum enjoyed since last year. "OK," party chiefs could say. "We haven't won this seat, but on this swing, there are plenty of other seats that we would win!"

So three winners there, plus the Speaker himself, who would get out before he lost all authority. Oh, and lots of geeks like myself would get a By-Election to be excited about.

One final thought: convention dictates that the three main UK-wide parties do not challenge sitting Speakers, but Tories often sniff that the convention only seems to apply when it's a Speaker from the Labour benches, and either Labour or the Liberals have found a reason to challenge Tory Speakers. Given Tory antipathy to Martin, if he does fight another General Election, why not make the point in the open, rather than briefing against Martin in the press? Obviously a Tory candidate in Glasgow North East has no chance of actually unseating anyone, but why not show cojones and make the point that the Tories would oppose Mister Speaker's re-election?

If those circumstances arise, will they dare?